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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 22, 2023 4:38:11 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/21/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (42.9%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (27.8%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (28.4%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.1% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (69+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar down. Powell remained hawkish in the House subcommittee (today, the Senate). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-18-23 22.90% 37.37% 39.73% -16.8%
05-25-23 27.38% 32.92% 39.69% -12.3%
06-01-23 29.05% 34.12% 36.82% -7.8%
06-08-23 44.55% 31.15% 24.30% +20.2%
06-15-23 45.18% 32.12% 22.70% +22.5%
06-21-23 42.9% 28.4% 27.8% +15.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.50% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.24% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 29, 2023 4:51:34 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/28/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (41.9%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (27.5%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.6%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +14.4% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (70+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar up. All 23 big banks passed the Fed Stress Tests. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-25-23 27.38% 32.92% 39.69% -12.3%
06-01-23 29.05% 34.12% 36.82% -7.8%
06-08-23 44.55% 31.15% 24.30% +20.2%
06-15-23 45.18% 32.12% 22.70% +22.5%
06-23-23 42.86% 29.39% 27.76% +15.1%
06-28-23 41.9% 30.6% 27.5% +14.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.50% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.24% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 6, 2023 4:22:59 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/5/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (48.4%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (24.5%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +23.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (71+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-01-23 29.05% 34.12% 36.82% -7.8%
06-08-23 44.55% 31.15% 24.30% +20.2%
06-15-23 45.18% 32.12% 22.70% +22.5%
06-22-23 42.86% 29.39% 27.76% +15.1%
06-29-23 41.93% 30.60% 27.47% +14.5%
07-05-23 48.4% 29.1% 24.5% +23.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.51% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.24% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 13, 2023 4:44:20 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/12/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (41.0%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.9%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (33.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.1% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (72+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. NATO promised more support for Ukraine, but membership only after the war; an upset Putin sent more missiles over Kyiv. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-08-23 44.55% 31.15% 24.30% 20.2%
06-15-23 45.18% 32.12% 22.70% 22.5%
06-22-23 42.86% 29.39% 27.76% 15.1%
06-29-23 41.93% 30.60% 27.47% 14.5%
07-06-23 46.39% 29.12% 24.48% 21.9%
07-12-23 41.0% 33.1% 25.9% 15.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.51% 31.42% 31.07% 6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.23% 09.78% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 20, 2023 4:42:59 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/19/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (51.4%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.5%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +29.9% (high; the highest since 4-8-21). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (73+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. This stock rally continues towards new highs. The Fed will hike rates by +25 bps on Wednesday next week. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-15-23 45.18% 32.12% 22.70% 22.5%
06-22-23 42.86% 29.39% 27.76% 15.1%
06-29-23 41.93% 30.60% 27.47% 14.5%
07-06-23 46.39% 29.12% 24.48% 21.9%
07-13-23 41.00% 33.14% 25.87% 15.1%
07-19-23 51.4% 27.1% 21.5% 29.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.51% 31.42% 31.07% 6.4%
STD 10.15% 08.23% 09.78% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 27, 2023 4:28:19 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/26/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (44.8%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (20.7%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.0%; average); Bull-Bear Spread was +20.7% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed (rate hiked by +25 bps); dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (74+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Fed rate cuts may be in 2024. Fed staff sees only soft landing, not recession. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-22-23 42.86% 29.39% 27.76% 15.1%
06-29-23 41.93% 30.60% 27.47% 14.5%
07-06-23 46.39% 29.12% 24.48% 21.9%
07-13-23 41.00% 33.14% 25.87% 15.1%
07-20-23 51.36% 27.15% 21.49% 29.9%
07-26-23 44.8% 31.0% 24.1% 20.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.06% 6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.23% 09.78% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 3, 2023 4:33:36 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/2/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (49.0%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.3%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.7%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +27.7% (high). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (75+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. Fitch downgraded the US debt to AA+, but it retained AAA for 3 US financials - NY Life, Northwestern Mutual, TIAA. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-29-23 41.93% 30.60% 27.47% 14.5%
07-06-23 46.39% 29.12% 24.48% 21.9%
07-13-23 41.00% 33.14% 25.87% 15.1%
07-20-23 51.36% 27.15% 21.49% 29.9%
07-27-23 44.91% 30.98% 24.12% 20.8%
08-02-23 49.0% 29.7% 21.3% 27.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.06% 6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.23% 09.78% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 10, 2023 4:37:51 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/9/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (44.7%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.5%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.8%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +19.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (76+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar flat. Moody's downgrades several regional banks due to concerns about real estate/CRE exposures, deposit flights, credit card delinquencies. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-06-23 46.39% 29.12% 24.48% 21.9%
07-13-23 41.00% 33.14% 25.87% 15.1%
07-20-23 51.36% 27.15% 21.49% 29.9%
07-27-23 44.91% 30.98% 24.12% 20.8%
08-03-23 48.98% 29.70% 21.32% 27.7%
08-09-23 44.7% 29.8% 25.5% 19.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.06% 6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.23% 09.78% 18.2%
Edit/Add. Bob Farrell's AAII Indicator turned bullish on/after 6/8/23.
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 10, 2023 6:56:20 GMT -6
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 17, 2023 4:38:24 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/16/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (35.9%; below average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (30.1%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (34.0%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +5.8% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (77+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. Longer-term rates are rising: Treasury 2-yr 4.97%, 10-yr 4.28%; 30-yr mortgage 7.40% (Bankrate). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-13-23 41.00% 33.14% 25.87% 15.1%
07-20-23 51.36% 27.15% 21.49% 29.9%
07-27-23 44.91% 30.98% 24.12% 20.8%
08-03-23 48.98% 29.70% 21.32% 27.7%
08-10-23 44.70% 29.80% 25.50% 19.2%
08-16-23 35.9% 34.0% 30.1% 5.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.54% 31.41% 31.05% 6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.22% 09.78% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 24, 2023 4:39:57 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/23/23
BEARISH became the top sentiment (35.9%; above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (31.8%; near average); bullish became the middle sentiment (32.3%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -3.6% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (78+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar flat. #BRICS announced expansion. Indian #MoonLanding cost $75 million. Fed #JacksonHole conf starting. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-20-23 51.36% 27.15% 21.49% +29.9%
07-27-23 44.91% 30.98% 24.12% +20.8%
08-03-23 48.98% 29.70% 21.32% +27.7%
08-10-23 44.70% 29.80% 25.50% +19.2%
08-17-23 35.89% 33.97% 30.14% +5.8%
08-23-23 32.3% 31.8% 35.9% -3.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.05% +6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.22% 09.78% 18.2%
Edit/Add. Positive Bull Bear Spread lasted only from 6/8/23-8/17/23 (2+ months).
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 31, 2023 4:18:12 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/30/23
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (34%; above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (32.4%; above average); bullish remained the middle sentiment (33.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -1.4% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (79+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. The SEC had recent setbacks in crypto lawsuits (vs Ripple, Grayscale); its "regulation by enforcement" approach was dented by courts. A class-action suit against Uniswap was also rejected. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-27-23 44.91% 30.98% 24.12% +20.8%
08-03-23 48.98% 29.70% 21.32% +27.7%
08-10-23 44.70% 29.80% 25.50% +19.2%
08-17-23 35.89% 33.97% 30.14% +5.8%
08-24-23 32.27% 31.81% 35.93% -3.7%
08-30-23 33.1% 32.4% 34.5% -1.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.05% +6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.22% 09.77% 18.2%
NOTE. Positive Bull Bear Spread lasted only from 6/8/23-8/17/23 (2+ months).
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 7, 2023 4:37:43 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/6/23
BULLISH became the top sentiment (42.2%; above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (28.2%; below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (29.6%%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +12.6%% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (80+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up strongly, gold down, dollar up. Dollar index remains too strong at 100+. Global digital payments may be on the agenda of G-20. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-03-23 48.98% 29.70% 21.32% +27.7%
08-10-23 44.70% 29.80% 25.50% +19.2%
08-17-23 35.89% 33.97% 30.14% +5.8%
08-24-23 32.27% 31.81% 35.93% -3.7%
08-31-23 33.09% 32.37% 34.53% -1.4%
09-06-23 42.2% 28.2% 29.6% +12.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.22% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 14, 2023 3:55:21 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/13/23
NEUTRAL became the top sentiment (38.4%; above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (29.2%; below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (34.4%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +5.2% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (81+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth down), bonds up, oil up, gold down, dollar flat. Last week seems like a fluke. US FY24 starts on 10/1/23 but no deal yet in DC. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-10-23 44.70% 29.80% 25.50% +19.2%
08-17-23 35.89% 33.97% 30.14% +5.8%
08-24-23 32.27% 31.81% 35.93% -3.7%
08-31-23 33.09% 32.37% 34.53% -1.4%
09-07-23 42.19% 28.22% 29.59% +12.6%
09-13-23 34.4% 38.4% 29.2% +5.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.14% 08.22% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 21, 2023 4:29:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/20/23
BEARISH became the top sentiment (34.6%; above average) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (31.3%; below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (34.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -3.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (82+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. Fed held rates. Yield-curve may be pivoting about ST rates. No budget deal yet in DC. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-17-23 35.89% 33.97% 30.14% +5.8%
08-24-23 32.27% 31.81% 35.93% -3.7%
08-31-23 33.09% 32.37% 34.53% -1.4%
09-07-23 42.19% 28.22% 29.59% +12.6%
09-14-23 34.42% 36.36% 29.22% +5.2%
09-20-23 31.3% 34.1% 34.6% -3.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.42% 31.05% +6.5%
STD 10.14% 08.22% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 28, 2023 4:39:19 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/27/23
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (40.8%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (27.8%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.3%; average); Bull-Bear Spread was -13.0% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (83+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Government shutdown starts over the weekend; Social Security payments, Postal services, Ukraine aid (current) won't be affected. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-24-23 32.27% 31.81% 35.93% -3.7%
08-31-23 33.09% 32.37% 34.53% -1.4%
09-07-23 42.19% 28.22% 29.59% +12.6%
09-14-23 34.42% 36.36% 29.22% +5.2%
09-21-23 31.30% 34.10% 34.61% -3.3%
09-27-23 27.8% 31.3% 40.8% -13.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.42% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.14% 08.21% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 28, 2023 16:41:09 GMT -6
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 5, 2023 4:49:08 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/4/23
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (41.6%; high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (28.3%; below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (30.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -11.5% (low). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (84+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (cyclicals down, growth up), bonds down, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. Long-term rates rose dramatically with 10-yr & 30-yr yields approaching 5%. More DC drama. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-31-23 33.09% 32.37% 34.53% -1.4%
09-07-23 42.19% 28.22% 29.59% +12.6%
09-14-23 34.42% 36.36% 29.22% +5.2%
09-21-23 31.30% 34.10% 34.61% -3.3%
09-28-23 27.79% 31.27% 40.94% -13.2%
10-04-23 30.1% 28.3% 41.6% -11.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.52% 31.42% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.14% 08.21% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 12, 2023 4:46:41 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/11/23
BULLISH became the top sentiment (40.0%; above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (23.5%; low); bearish became the middle sentiment (36.5%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +3.5% (below average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (85+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Gaza*; geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. *Assumption now is that the hostilities won't spread through Middle East. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-07-23 42.19% 28.22% 29.59% +12.6%
09-14-23 34.42% 36.36% 29.22% +5.2%
09-21-23 31.30% 34.10% 34.61% -3.3%
09-28-23 27.79% 31.27% 40.94% -13.2%
10-05-23 30.10% 28.32% 41.58% -11.5%
10-11-23 40.0% 23.5% 36.5% +3.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.07% +6.4%
STD 10.14% 08.21% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 19, 2023 4:14:57 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/18/23
BEARISH (barely) became the top sentiment (34.8%; above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (31.3%; average); bullish became the middle sentiment (34.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -0.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (86+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas; geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. The DC is clogged without a House Speaker. Bond vigilantes are lifting the long end of the rates. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-14-23 34.42% 36.36% 29.22% +5.2%
09-21-23 31.30% 34.10% 34.61% -3.3%
09-28-23 27.79% 31.27% 40.94% -13.2%
10-05-23 30.10% 28.32% 41.58% -11.5%
10-12-23 40.00% 23.51% 36.49% +3.5%
10-18-23 34.1% 31.3% 34.8% -0.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.07% +6.4%
STD 10.14% 08.21% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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