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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 1, 2024 4:40:33 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/31/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (44.9%, above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (25.2%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (29.9%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +19.7% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (127+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (42+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 71.65% (overbought). FOMC held rates; September cut would depend on additional data. Treasury spreads 2Y/10Y negative, 2Y/30Y positive. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-27-24 44.49% 27.17% 28.35% +16.1%
07-04-24 41.74% 32.17% 26.09% +15.7%
07-11-24 49.18% 29.10% 21.72% +27.5%
07-18-24 52.75% 23.81% 23.44% +29.3%
07-25-24 43.17% 25.09% 31.73% +11.4%
07-31-24 44.9% 29.9% 25.2% +19.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.65% 31.37% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.11% 08.14% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 8, 2024 4:41:00 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/7/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (40.5%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (22.0%, low); bearish became the middle sentiment (37.5%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +3.0% (below average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (128+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (43+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 46.72% (negative). Fear gauge VIX range this week 15.95 - 65.73; Japan even more volatile. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-04-24 41.74% 32.17% 26.09% +15.7%
07-11-24 49.18% 29.10% 21.72% +27.5%
07-18-24 52.75% 23.81% 23.44% +29.3%
07-25-24 43.17% 25.09% 31.73% +11.4%
08-01-24 44.88% 29.92% 25.20% +19.7%
08-07-24 40.5% 22.0% 37.5% +3.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.65% 31.37% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 15, 2024 4:46:33 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/14/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (42.5%, above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (28.8%, below average); bearish remained the middle sentiment (28.9%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +13.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (129+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (44+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 55.68% (positive). CPI +2.9%, core +3.2%; wholesale PPI +2.2%, core +2.4%. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-11-24 49.18% 29.10% 21.72% +27.5%
07-18-24 52.75% 23.81% 23.44% +29.3%
07-25-24 43.17% 25.09% 31.73% +11.4%
08-01-24 44.88% 29.92% 25.20% +19.7%
08-08-24 40.54% 22.01% 37.45% +3.1%
08-14-24 42.5% 28.8% 28.9% +13.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.66% 31.37% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.14% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 22, 2024 4:48:32 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/21/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (51.6%, high) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (23.7%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (24.7%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +27.9% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (130+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (45+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals flat), bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 67.88% (positive). Fed's Jackson Hole Conf Aug 22-24 w/Powell speaking at 10am Eastern on Fri. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-18-24 52.75% 23.81% 23.44% +29.3%
07-25-24 43.17% 25.09% 31.73% +11.4%
08-01-24 44.88% 29.92% 25.20% +19.7%
08-08-24 40.54% 22.01% 37.45% +3.1%
08-15-24 42.54% 28.57% 28.89% +13.7%
08-21-24 51.6% 24.7% 23.7% +27.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.66% 31.37% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 29, 2024 4:46:49 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/28/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (51.2%, high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (21.9%, low); bearish became the middle sentiment (27.0%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.2% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (131+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (46+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 70.11% (overbought, barely). Stock rally is broadening & equal-weight RSP had a new high. Est PCE +2.6%, core +2.7%. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
07-25-24 43.17% 25.09% 31.73% +11.4%
08-01-24 44.88% 29.92% 25.20% +19.7%
08-08-24 40.54% 22.01% 37.45% +3.1%
08-15-24 42.54% 28.57% 28.89% +13.7%
08-22-24 51.61% 24.73% 23.66% +28.0%
08-28-24 51.2% 21.9% 27.0% +24.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.66% 31.36% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 5, 2024 4:18:43 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/4/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (45.3%, high) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (20.4%, low); neutral became the middle sentiment (29.8%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +20.4% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (132+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (47+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar flat. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 61.38% (positive). Large divergence between 2-yr* at 3.76% & fed funds 5.25-5.50%. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
*2-yr is an indicator of where the fed fund rates may be headed in a few months.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-01-24 44.88% 29.92% 25.20% +19.7%
08-08-24 40.54% 22.01% 37.45% +3.1%
08-15-24 42.54% 28.57% 28.89% +13.7%
08-22-24 51.61% 24.73% 23.66% +28.0%
08-29-24 51.16% 21.86% 26.98% +24.2%
09-04-24 45.3% 29.8% 24.9% +20.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.67% 31.36% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 12, 2024 4:28:41 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/11/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (39.8%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (29.3%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (31.0%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +8.0% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (133+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (48+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 54.30% (positive). CPI +2.5%, core +3.2%; (wholesale) PPI today at 8:30 AM ET. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Edit/Add. PPI +1.7%, core +3.3%.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-08-24 40.54% 22.01% 37.45% +3.1%
08-15-24 42.54% 28.57% 28.89% +13.7%
08-22-24 51.61% 24.73% 23.66% +28.0%
08-29-24 51.16% 21.86% 26.98% +24.2%
09-05-24 45.33% 29.76% 24.91% +20.4%
09-11-24 39.8% 29.3% 31.0% +8.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.68% 31.36% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 19, 2024 4:49:37 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/18/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (50.8%, high) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (22.8%, low); bearish remained the middle sentiment (26.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.4% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (134+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (49+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 69.00% (positive). Fed cut rates 50 bps to 4.75-5.00%; more cuts are coming in 2024. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-15-24 42.54% 28.57% 28.89% +13.7%
08-22-24 51.61% 24.73% 23.66% +28.0%
08-29-24 51.16% 21.86% 26.98% +24.2%
09-05-24 45.33% 29.76% 24.91% +20.4%
09-12-24 39.80% 29.25% 30.95% +8.8%
09-18-24 50.8% 22.8% 26.4% +24.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.68% 31.36% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 26, 2024 4:48:12 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/25/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.6%, high) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (23.7%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (26.7%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +25.9% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (135+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (50+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 68.35% (positive). Commodities & EMs have benefitted from the Fed rate cut. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-22-24 51.61% 24.73% 23.66% +28.0%
08-29-24 51.16% 21.86% 26.98% +24.2%
09-05-24 45.33% 29.76% 24.91% +20.4%
09-12-24 39.80% 29.25% 30.95% +8.8%
09-19-24 50.83% 22.77% 26.40% +24.4%
09-25-26 49.6% 26.7% 23.7% +25.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.68% 31.35% 30.96% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.71% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 3, 2024 5:00:06 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/2/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (45.5%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (27.3% tie, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.3% tie, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +18.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (136+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (51+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds up, oil up, gold down, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 69.54% (positive). Port workers' strike will cause supply disruptions. Situation in Middle East has worsened, but oil hasn't reacted much. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-29-24 51.16% 21.86% 26.98% +24.2%
09-05-24 45.33% 29.76% 24.91% +20.4%
09-12-24 39.80% 29.25% 30.95% +8.8%
09-19-24 50.83% 22.77% 26.40% +24.4%
09-26-24 49.62% 26.69% 23.68% +25.9%
10-02-24 45.5% 27.3% 27.3% +18.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.69% 31.35% 30.96% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 10, 2024 4:07:12 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/9/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.0%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (20.6%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +28.4% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (137+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (52+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 65.41% (positive). At 8:30 AM ET today, the CPI release will determine the I-Bond variable-rate from November 1 & CPI-W the Social Security COLA for 2025. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Edit/Add. After the release of CPI & CPI-W on 10/20/14:
I-Bond variable-rate from November 1 is 1.90% (semiannual 0.9506%).
Social Security COLA for 2025 is +2.5%.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-05-24 45.33% 29.76% 24.91% +20.4%
09-12-24 39.80% 29.25% 30.95% +8.8%
09-19-24 50.83% 22.77% 26.40% +24.4%
09-26-24 49.62% 26.69% 23.68% +25.9%
10-03-24 45.45% 27.27% 27.27% +18.2%
10-09-24 49.0% 30.4% 20.6% +28.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.69% 31.35% 30.96% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 17, 2024 4:50:55 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/16/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (45.5%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.5%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.2%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +20.1% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (138+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (53+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 75.84% (overbought). Unusually rare positive Sept followed by strong Oct (so far). Then, good seasonality Nov 1 - Apr 30. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-12-24 39.80% 29.25% 30.95% +8.8%
09-19-24 50.83% 22.77% 26.40% +24.4%
09-26-24 49.62% 26.69% 23.68% +25.9%
10-03-24 45.45% 27.27% 27.27% +18.2%
10-10-24 49.01% 30.43% 20.55% +28.5%
10-16-24 45.5% 29.2% 25.4% +20.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.70% 31.35% 30.95% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.13% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 24, 2024 4:31:39 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/23/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (37.7%, average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (29.9%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.4%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +7.8% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (139+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (54+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 56.58% (positive). Bond yields & dollar rose since the Fed's jumbo cut on 9/18/24. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-19-24 50.83% 22.77% 26.40% +24.4%
09-26-24 49.62% 26.69% 23.68% +25.9%
10-03-24 45.45% 27.27% 27.27% +18.2%
10-10-24 49.01% 30.43% 20.55% +28.5%
10-18-24 45.45% 29.17% 25.38% +20.1%
10-23-24 37.7% 32.4% 29.9% +7.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.70% 31.35% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.10% 08.12% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 31, 2024 5:22:06 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/30/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (39.5%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (29.6%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (30.9%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +8.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (140+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (55+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds down, oil down, gold up, dollar flat. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 53.28% (positive). Bond yields & gold continue to rise due to concerns about budget deficit & total debt. PCE at 8:30am ET. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-26-24 49.62% 26.69% 23.68% +25.9%
10-03-24 45.45% 27.27% 27.27% +18.2%
10-10-24 49.01% 30.43% 20.55% +28.5%
10-18-24 45.45% 29.17% 25.38% +20.1%
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-30-24 39.5% 29.6% 30.9% +8.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.70% 31.35% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.10% 08.12% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 7, 2024 5:34:42 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/6/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (41.5%, above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (27.6%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (31.9%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +13.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (141+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (56+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 62.80% (positive). Strong post-election bounce; WH-Trump, Senate-Republican, House-pending. The Fed may cut rates later today. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-03-24 45.45% 27.27% 27.27% +18.2%
10-10-24 49.01% 30.43% 20.55% +28.5%
10-17-24 45.45% 29.17% 25.38% +20.1%
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-31-24 39.49% 29.61% 30.90% +8.6%
11-06-24 41.5% 31.9% 27.6% +13.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.70% 31.35% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.10% 08.12% 09.70% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 14, 2024 5:45:16 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/13/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.8%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (21.8%, low); bearish became the middle sentiment (28.3%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +21.5% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (142+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (57+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil & gold down sharply, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 56.80% (positive). CPI +2.6%, core +3.3%; PPI at 8:30am ET today (+2.4%, core +3.1%). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-10-24 49.01% 30.43% 20.55% +28.5%
10-17-24 45.45% 29.17% 25.38% +20.1%
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-31-24 39.49% 29.61% 30.90% +8.6%
11-07-24 41.54% 30.88% 27.57% +14.0%
11-13-24 49.8% 21.8% 28.3% +21.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.34% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.10% 08.12% 09.69% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 21, 2024 5:38:14 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/20/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (41.3%, above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (25.5%, below average); bearish remained the middle sentiment (33.2%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +8.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget deficit, debt, inflation, the Fed, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (143+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (58+ weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 53.30% (positive). Bitcoin is fast approaching $100,000; 52-wk low was $36,750. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-17-24 45.45% 29.17% 25.38% +20.1%
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-31-24 39.49% 29.61% 30.90% +8.6%
11-07-24 41.54% 30.88% 27.57% +14.0%
11-14-24 49.84% 21.81% 28.35% +21.5%
11-20-24 41.3% 25.5% 33.2% +8.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.34% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.10% 08.12% 09.69% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 28, 2024 5:24:59 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/27/24
BEARISH became the top sentiment (38.6%, above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (24.3%, below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (37.1%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was -1.5% (below average). Investor concerns: Budget deficit, debt, inflation, the Fed, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (144+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (59+ weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil flat, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 63.77% (positive). PCE +2.3%, core +2.8%. Stock rally remains intact. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-31-24 39.49% 29.61% 30.90% +8.6%
11-07-24 41.54% 30.88% 27.57% +14.0%
11-14-24 49.84% 21.81% 28.35% +21.5%
11-21-24 41.29% 25.48% 33.23% +8.1%
11-27-24 37.1% 24.3% 38.6% -1.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.34% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.09% 08.12% 09.69% 18.0%
Edit/Add. Bull-Bear Spread was previously negative on 4/25/24. There were several negative readings in 2023, the last on 11/2/23.
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads + Bluesky ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 5, 2024 5:00:36 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/4/24
BULLISH became the top sentiment (48.3%, high) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (21.0%, low); bearish became the middle sentiment (30.7%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +17.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget deficit, debt, inflation, the Fed, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (145+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (60+ weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 62.55% (positive). The dollar seems to be consolidated for a technical bounce. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-24-24 37.70% 32.38% 29.92% +7.8%
10-31-24 39.49% 29.61% 30.90% +8.6%
11-07-24 41.54% 30.88% 27.57% +14.0%
11-14-24 49.84% 21.81% 28.35% +21.5%
11-21-24 41.29% 25.48% 33.23% +8.1%
11-27-24 37.1% 24.3% 38.6% -1.5% (missing in Historical Data Excel)
12-04-24 48.3% 21.0% 30.7% +17.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.34% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.09% 08.12% 09.69% 18.0%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads + Bluesky ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 12, 2024 5:59:10 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/11/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (43.3%, above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (25.0%, below average); bearish remained the middle sentiment (31.7%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +11.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget deficit, debt, inflation, the Fed, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (146+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (61+ weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 58.21% (positive). With several ECB rate cuts ahead, the dollar should remain stronger for longer. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-07-24 41.54% 30.88% 27.57% +14.0%
11-14-24 49.84% 21.81% 28.35% +21.5%
11-21-24 41.29% 25.48% 33.23% +8.1%
11-28-24 37.05% 24.30% 38.65% -1.6%
12-05-24 48.33% 21.00% 30.67% +17.7%
12-12-24 43.3% 25.0% 31.7% +11.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.72% 31.33% 30.95% +6.8%
STD 10.09% 08.12% 09.69% 18.0%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads + Bluesky ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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