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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 9, 2023 6:01:25 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/8/23
For the week ending on 2/8/23, bullish became the top sentiment (37.5%; average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.0%; below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (37.5%; above average & tie); Bull-Bear Spread was +12.5% (!; below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (50+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Bull-Bear spread became positive for the first time since 3/31/22 (the negative run was for a record 44 weeks). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-05-23 20.51% 37.50% 41.99% -21.5%
01-12-23 24.03% 36.04% 39.93% -15.9%
01-19-23 30.97% 35.96% 33.07% -2.1%
01-26-23 28.37% 34.96% 36.68% -8.3%
02-02-23 29.90% 35.55% 34.55% -4.7%
02-09-23 37.5% 37.5% 25% +12.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.60% 31.39% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 16, 2023 5:46:41 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/15/23
For the week ending on 2/15/23, neutral became the top sentiment (37.1%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (28.8%; below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (34.1%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +5.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (51+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil flat, gold down, dollar up. Bull-Bear spread remained positive for another week. There were balloons of mysterious origins that were all shot down with missiles. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-12-23 24.03% 36.04% 39.93% -15.9%
01-19-23 30.97% 35.96% 33.07% -2.1%
01-26-23 28.37% 34.96% 36.68% -8.3%
02-02-23 29.90% 35.55% 34.55% -4.7%
02-09-23 37.50% 37.50% 25.00% +12.5%
02-15-23 34.1% 37.1% 28.8% +5.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.60% 31.39% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 23, 2023 5:44:18 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/22/23
For the week ending on 2/22/23, neutral remained the top sentiment (39.8%; high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (21.6%; very low); bearish became the middle sentiment (38.6%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread collapsed to -17.0% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (52+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down sharply, bonds down, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. BIDEN visited Ukraine; PUTIN withdrew from SALT nuclear treaty. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-19-23 30.97% 35.96% 33.07% -2.1%
01-26-23 28.37% 34.96% 36.68% -8.3%
02-02-23 29.90% 35.55% 34.55% -4.7%
02-09-23 37.50% 37.50% 25.00% +12.5%
02-16-23 34.12% 37.06% 28.82% +5.3%
02-22-23 21.6% 39.8% 38.6% -17.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.59% 31.40% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 2, 2023 5:19:44 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/1/23
For the week ending on 3/1/23, bearish became the top sentiment (44.8%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (23.4%; very low); neutral became the middle sentiment (31.8%; about average); Bull-Bear Spread was -21.4% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (53+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold up a bit, dollar flat. Sentiment trend change from early-February is seen now. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-26-23 28.37% 34.96% 36.68% -8.3%
02-02-23 29.90% 35.55% 34.55% -4.7%
02-09-23 37.50% 37.50% 25.00% 12.5%
02-16-23 34.12% 37.06% 28.82% 5.3%
02-23-23 21.65% 39.76% 38.59% -16.9%
03-02-23 23.4% 31.8% 44.8% -21.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.59% 31.40% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 9, 2023 6:03:13 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/8/23
For the week ending on 3/8/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (41.7%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.8%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (33.4%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -16.9% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (tough talk by Powell); dollar; cryptos (Silverbank/SI to shutdown); market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (54+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-02-23 29.90% 35.55% 34.55% -4.7%
02-09-23 37.50% 37.50% 25.00% 12.5%
02-16-23 34.12% 37.06% 28.82% 5.3%
02-23-23 21.65% 39.76% 38.59% -16.9%
03-02-23 23.38% 31.82% 44.81% -21.4%
03-08-23 24.8% 33.4% 41.7% -16.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.58% 31.40% 31.02% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 16, 2023 4:44:18 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/15/23
For the week ending on 3/15/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (48.4%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (19.2%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.4%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -29.2% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (55+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold up sharply, dollar down. Crazy rate volatility as 3 banks failed in 4 days; SVB Bank & Signature Bank, #2 & #3 biggest bank failures in the US History. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-09-23 37.50% 37.50% 25.00% 12.5%
02-16-23 34.12% 37.06% 28.82% 5.3%
02-23-23 21.65% 39.76% 38.59% -16.9%
03-02-23 23.38% 31.82% 44.81% -21.4%
03-09-23 24.83% 33.45% 41.72% -16.9%
03-15-23 19.2% 32.4% 48.4% -29.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.57% 31.40% 31.03% +6.5%
STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 23, 2023 4:40:04 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/22/23
For the week ending on 3/22/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (48.9%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (20.9%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.2%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -28.0% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (hiked by +25 bps); dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (56+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar down sharply. Global banking crisis continued; the US regulation of smaller banks needs reforms. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-16-23 34.12% 37.06% 28.82% 5.3%
02-23-23 21.65% 39.76% 38.59% -16.9%
03-02-23 23.38% 31.82% 44.81% -21.4%
03-09-23 24.83% 33.45% 41.72% -16.9%
03-16-23 19.22% 32.38% 48.40% -29.2%
03-22-23 20.9% 30.2% 48.9% -28.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.56% 31.40% 31.04% +6.5%
STD 10.15% 08.26% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 30, 2023 4:32:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/29/23
For the week ending on 3/29/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (45.6%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (22.5%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.9%; about average); Bull-Bear Spread was -23.1% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (57+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. The US bank hearings provided insights into the crisis as the regulators watched. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-23-23 21.65% 39.76% 38.59% -16.9%
03-02-23 23.38% 31.82% 44.81% -21.4%
03-09-23 24.83% 33.45% 41.72% -16.9%
03-16-23 19.22% 32.38% 48.40% -29.2%
03-23-23 20.95% 30.17% 48.88% -27.9%
03-29-23 22.5% 31.9% 45.6% -23.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.55% 31.40% 31.04% +6.5%
STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 6, 2023 4:30:45 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/5/23
For the week ending on 4/5/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (35.0%; above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (31.6%; average); bullish became the middle sentiment (33.3%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -1.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (58+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil up strongly (OPEC cut production), gold up, dollar down. A huge improvement in the Sentiment this week, possibly a trend change? #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-02-23 23.38% 31.82% 44.81% -21.4%
03-09-23 24.83% 33.45% 41.72% -16.9%
03-16-23 19.22% 32.38% 48.40% -29.2%
03-23-23 20.95% 30.17% 48.88% -27.9%
03-30-23 22.50% 31.90% 45.60% -23.1%
04-05-23 33.3% 31.6% 35.0% -1.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.54% 31.40% 31.05% +6.5%
STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 13, 2023 4:31:11 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/12/23
For the week ending on 4/12/23, neutral became the top sentiment (39.5%; above average) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (26.1%; low); bearish became the middle sentiment (34.5%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -8.4% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (59+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth & tech down), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-09-23 24.83% 33.45% 41.72% -16.9%
03-16-23 19.22% 32.38% 48.40% -29.2%
03-23-23 20.95% 30.17% 48.88% -27.9%
03-30-23 22.50% 31.90% 45.60% -23.1%
04-06-23 33.30% 31.60% 35.00% -1.7%
04-12-23 26.1% 39.5% 34.5% -8.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.54% 31.40% 31.05% +6.5%
STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 20, 2023 4:02:29 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/19/23
For the week ending on 4/19/23, neutral remained the top sentiment (37.7%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (27.2%; below average); bearish remained the middle sentiment (35.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -7.9% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (60+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. An unusually high 1m-3m T-Bill spread points to some liquidity issue developing. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-16-23 19.22% 32.38% 48.40% -29.2%
03-23-23 20.95% 30.17% 48.88% -27.9%
03-30-23 22.51% 31.87% 45.61% -23.1%
04-06-23 33.33% 31.65% 35.02% -1.7%
04-13-23 26.05% 39.46% 34.48% -8.4%
04-19-23 27.2% 37.7% 35.1% -7.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.54% 31.41% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 27, 2023 4:26:16 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/26/23
For the week ending on 4/26/23, bearish became the top sentiment (38.5%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.1%; low); neutral became the middle sentiment (37.4%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -14.4% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy (now, the regional bank FRC?); the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (61+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar down. An unusually high 1m-3m T-Bill spread remained on debt-ceiling concerns. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-23-23 20.95% 30.17% 48.88% -27.9%
03-30-23 22.51% 31.87% 45.61% -23.1%
04-06-23 33.33% 31.65% 35.02% -1.7%
04-13-23 26.05% 39.46% 34.48% -8.4%
04-20-23 27.22% 37.66% 35.13% -7.9%
04-26-23 24.1% 37.4% 38.5% -14.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.53% 31.41% 31.06% +6.5%
STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 4, 2023 4:18:51 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/3/23 For the week ending on 5/3/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (44.9%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.1%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.0%; near average); Bull-Bear Spread was -20.8% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (hiked +25 bps); dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (62+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold up, dollar flat. The Fed is at/near the end on rate hikes. The regional banking crisis continues as the underlying problems remain (underwater portfolios & fast runs). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 03-30-23 22.51% 31.87% 45.61% -23.1% 04-06-23 33.33% 31.65% 35.02% -1.7% 04-13-23 26.05% 39.46% 34.48% -8.4% 04-20-23 27.22% 37.66% 35.13% -7.9% 04-27-23 24.14% 37.36% 38.51% -14.4% 05-03-23 24.1% 31.0% 44.9% -20.8 Observations over life of survey Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.06% +6.5% STD 10.16% 08.26% 09.79% 18.2% Edit/Add: First Jamie Dimon (after feasting on First Republic/FRC), and then Powell (yesterday), declared the end of regional banking crisis. Those pronouncements may have been very premature. This AM (5/4/23), there are at least 3 banks on the verge of collapse - PACW, WAL, FHN (after the deal with TD fell through). The same issues remain - underwater HTM Treasuries/MBS and CRE holdings, fast bank runs. As the deal collapse of TD + FHN shows, other banks may not step in now to buy shaky regionals because it may be better for those regionals to first go through the FDIC takeover, and then a fire sale. There is talk/rumors on Twitter again that the Treasury is looking into extending the FDIC deposit insurance to contain this regional banking crisis/contagion. Regional bank KRE remains under pressure although now I have a low-ball limit-order to BUY. www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/pacwwww.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/walwww.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/fhnAccessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). |
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 10, 2023 14:20:32 GMT -6
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 11, 2023 4:18:53 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/10/23
For the week ending on 5/10/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (41.2%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (29.4% (tie); below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.4% (tie); below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -11.8% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (63+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold flat, dollar up a bit. The debt-ceiling issue must be resolved by 6/1/23. The regional banking crisis continues as the underlying problems remain (underwater portfolios & fast runs). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-06-23 33.33% 31.65% 35.02% -1.7%
04-13-23 26.05% 39.46% 34.48% -8.4%
04-20-23 27.22% 37.66% 35.13% -7.9%
04-27-23 24.14% 37.36% 38.51% -14.4%
05-04-23 24.08% 31.02% 44.90% -20.8%
05-10-23 29.4% 29.4% 41.2% -11.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.07% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.25% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 18, 2023 4:33:37 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/17/23
For the week ending on 5/17/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (39.7%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (22.9%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (37.4%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -16.8% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (64+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. The debt-ceiling issue must be resolved by 6/1/23. The regional banking crisis continues. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-13-23 26.05% 39.46% 34.48% -8.4%
04-20-23 27.22% 37.66% 35.13% -7.9%
04-27-23 24.14% 37.36% 38.51% -14.4%
05-04-23 24.08% 31.02% 44.90% -20.8%
05-11-23 29.39% 29.39% 41.22% -11.8%
05-17-23 22.9% 37.4% 39.7% -16.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.51% 31.41% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.25% 09.80% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 25, 2023 5:06:16 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/24/23
For the week ending on 5/24/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (39.7%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (27.4%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.9%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -12.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (65+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Fitch put the US debt on negative watch as the debt-ceiling deadline 6/1/23 approaches & there is now Memorial Day recess. The regional banking crisis continues. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-20-23 27.22% 37.66% 35.13% -7.9%
04-27-23 24.14% 37.36% 38.51% -14.4%
05-04-23 24.08% 31.02% 44.90% -20.8%
05-11-23 29.39% 29.39% 41.22% -11.8%
05-18-23 22.90% 37.37% 39.73% -16.8%
05-24-23 27.4% 32.9% 39.7% -12.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.50% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.25% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 1, 2023 4:02:09 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/31/23
For the week ending on 5/31/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (36.8%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (29.1%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (34.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -7.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (66+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold up, dollar up. The debt-ceiling cleared the (critical) House; the Senate & WH approvals should follow soon. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-27-23 24.14% 37.36% 38.51% -14.4%
05-04-23 24.08% 31.02% 44.90% -20.8%
05-11-23 29.39% 29.39% 41.22% -11.8%
05-18-23 22.90% 37.37% 39.73% -16.8%
05-25-23 27.38% 32.92% 39.69% -12.3%
05-31-23 29.1% 34.1% 36.8% -7.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.50% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.25% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 8, 2023 4:40:20 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/7/23
Vow! Bullish became the top sentiment (44.5%; above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (24.3%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.2%; near average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.3% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (67+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar down a bit. Post-debt-ceiling, yields to rise, financial liquidity to drain due to huge Treasury issuances. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-04-23 24.08% 31.02% 44.90% -20.8%
05-11-23 29.39% 29.39% 41.22% -11.8%
05-18-23 22.90% 37.37% 39.73% -16.8%
05-25-23 27.38% 32.92% 39.69% -12.3%
06-01-23 29.05% 34.12% 36.82% -7.8%
06-07-23 44.5% 31.2% 24.3% +24.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.49% 31.42% 31.09% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.25% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 15, 2023 4:34:50 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/14/23
Bullish remained the top sentiment (45.2%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (27.7%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +17.5% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (hawkish-pause yesterday - 2 more hikes by 2023YE?); dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (68+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. Powell said that rates may not be cut for 2 years. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-11-23 29.39% 29.39% 41.22% -11.8%
05-18-23 22.90% 37.37% 39.73% -16.8%
05-25-23 27.38% 32.92% 39.69% -12.3%
06-01-23 29.05% 34.12% 36.82% -7.8%
06-08-23 44.55% 31.15% 24.30% +20.2%
06-14-23 45.2% 32.1% 27.7% +17.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.50% 31.42% 31.08% +6.4%
STD 10.16% 08.24% 09.79% 18.2%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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