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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 14, 2024 4:37:53 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/13/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (45.9%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.9%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.2%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.0% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (107+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (22+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. The 2nd shoe (CREs) fell on regional banks (KRE) without much damage beyond NYCB. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-08-24 49.03% 28.41% 22.56% +26.5%
02-15-24 42.17% 31.06% 26.77% +15.4%
02-22-24 44.28% 29.52% 26.20% +18.1%
02-29-24 46.50% 32.17% 21.34% +25.2%
03-07-24 51.74% 26.50% 21.77% +30.0%
03-13-24 45.9% 32.2% 21.9% +24.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.59% 31.39% 31.02% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.17% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 21, 2024 4:45:24 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/20/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (43.2%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (27.2%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.6%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +16.0% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (108+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (23+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. Fed may keep rates higher for longer. Global rate policies were mixed. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-15-24 42.17% 31.06% 26.77% +15.4%
02-22-24 44.28% 29.52% 26.20% +18.1%
02-29-24 46.50% 32.17% 21.34% +25.2%
03-07-24 51.74% 26.50% 21.77% +30.0%
03-14-24 45.90% 32.22% 21.88% +24.0%
03-20-24 43.2% 29.6% 27.2% +16.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.60% 31.39% 31.02% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.17% 09.75% 18.1%
Edit/Add. AAII Bull Bear Spread has been positive since 11/8/23. It has been range bound in + double-digits. That is a pretty long period.
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 28, 2024 4:01:16 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/27/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (50.0%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (22.4%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.6%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +27.6% (approaching mid-Dec high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (109+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (24+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks, bonds, oil, gold, dollar ALL unusually up. Frothy areas include meme stocks, SPAC M&A, IPOs, ODTE options, cryptos, gold (but not gold-miners). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-22-24 44.28% 29.52% 26.20% +18.1%
02-29-24 46.50% 32.17% 21.34% +25.2%
03-07-24 51.74% 26.50% 21.77% +30.0%
03-14-24 45.90% 32.22% 21.88% +24.0%
03-21-24 43.20% 29.61% 27.19% +16.0%
03-27-24 50.0% 27.6% 22.4% +27.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.60% 31.38% 31.02% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.17% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 4, 2024 4:56:48 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/3/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (47.3%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (22.2%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.5%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +25.1% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (110+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (25+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. Good seasonality from Nov 1 - Apr 30; Q1 was best for SP500 since 2019. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-29-24 46.50% 32.17% 21.34% +25.2%
03-07-24 51.74% 26.50% 21.77% +30.0%
03-14-24 45.90% 32.22% 21.88% +24.0%
03-21-24 43.20% 29.61% 27.19% +16.0%
03-28-24 50.00% 27.55% 22.45% +27.6%
04-03-24 47.3% 30.5% 22.2% +25.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.60% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.17% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 11, 2024 3:58:44 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/10/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (43.4%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (24.0%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.5%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +19.4% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (111+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (26+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar up. CPI is rising. Higher rates for longer, maybe 0-2 cuts in 2024. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-07-24 51.74% 26.50% 21.77% +30.0%
03-14-24 45.90% 32.22% 21.88% +24.0%
03-21-24 43.20% 29.61% 27.19% +16.0%
03-28-24 50.00% 27.55% 22.45% +27.6%
04-04-24 47.29% 30.49% 22.22% +25.1%
04-10-24 43.4% 32.5% 24.0% +19.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.16% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 18, 2024 4:36:57 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/17/24
COLLAPSE. BULLISH remained the top sentiment (38.3%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (27.8%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (34.0%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was only +4.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (112+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (27+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil down, gold up, dollar up. Maybe 0-2 Fed rate cuts in 2024. Israel's response to Iran's attack is awaited. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-14-24 45.90% 32.22% 21.88% +24.0%
03-21-24 43.20% 29.61% 27.19% +16.0%
03-28-24 50.00% 27.55% 22.45% +27.6%
04-04-24 47.29% 30.49% 22.22% +25.1%
04-11-24 43.44% 32.51% 24.04% +19.4%
04-17-24 38.3% 27.8% 34.0% +4.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.16% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Apr 25, 2024 4:34:24 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/24/24
BEARISH became the top sentiment (33.9% tie, above average) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (32.2%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (33.9% tie, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -4.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (113+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (28+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar flat. There is earnings season stock volatility. The US banks (JPM, etc) are in the middle of the US sanctions on Russia. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-21-24 43.20% 29.61% 27.19% +16.0%
03-28-24 50.00% 27.55% 22.45% +27.6%
04-04-24 47.29% 30.49% 22.22% +25.1%
04-11-24 43.44% 32.51% 24.04% +19.4%
04-18-24 38.27% 27.76% 33.96% +4.3%
04-24-24 32.1% 33.9% 33.9% -1.8% (last negative was on 11/1/23, 18 months ago)
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.13% 08.16% 09.74% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 2, 2024 4:15:48 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/1/24
FLIP-FLOP: Bullish became the top sentiment (38.5%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (29.0%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (32.5%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +6.0% (average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (114+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (29+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds up, oil down, gold down, dollar flat. FOMC held rates; hikes unlikely. QT reduced from Jun 1 to -$60 b/mo (vs -$95 b/mo now). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
03-28-24 50.00% 27.55% 22.45% +27.6%
04-04-24 47.29% 30.49% 22.22% +25.1%
04-11-24 43.44% 32.51% 24.04% +19.4%
04-18-24 38.27% 27.76% 33.96% +4.3%
04-25-24 32.13% 33.93% 33.93% -1.8%
05-02-24 38.5% 29.0% 32.5% +6.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.12% 08.16% 09.74% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 9, 2024 4:32:44 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/8/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (40.8%, above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (23.8%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (35.4%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +17.0% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (115+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (30+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold flat, dollar down. Major indexes rose above 50-dMA. Poor seasonality May 1 - Oct 30. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-04-24 47.29% 30.49% 22.22% +25.1%
04-11-24 43.44% 32.51% 24.04% +19.4%
04-18-24 38.27% 27.76% 33.96% +4.3%
04-25-24 32.13% 33.93% 33.93% -1.8%
05-02-24 38.49% 29.02% 32.49% +6.0%
05-08-24 40.8% 35.4% 23.8% +17.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.12% 08.16% 09.74% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 16, 2024 4:40:29 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/15/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (40.9%, above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (23.3%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (35.9%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +17.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (116+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (31+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. CPI +3.4%, PPI +2.2% (wholesale). DJIA futures 40,000+. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-11-24 43.44% 32.51% 24.04% +19.4%
04-18-24 38.27% 27.76% 33.96% +4.3%
04-25-24 32.13% 33.93% 33.93% -1.8%
05-02-24 38.49% 29.02% 32.49% +6.0%
05-09-24 40.82% 35.37% 23.81% +17.0%
05-15-24 40.9% 35.9% 23.3% +17.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.12% 08.15% 09.74% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 23, 2024 4:39:01 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/22/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (47.0%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.3%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (26.6%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +20.7% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (117+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (32+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds down, oil down, gold flat, dollar up. FOMC Minutes indicated higher rates for longer. Pending crypto FIT21 will make the CFTC the lead agency, not the SEC; Gensler is in near-panic. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-18-24 38.27% 27.76% 33.96% +4.3%
04-25-24 32.13% 33.93% 33.93% -1.8%
05-02-24 38.49% 29.02% 32.49% +6.0%
05-09-24 40.82% 35.37% 23.81% +17.0%
05-16-24 40.86% 35.88% 23.26% +17.6%
05-22-24 47.0% 26.6% 26.3% +20.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.39% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.12% 08.15% 09.74% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on May 30, 2024 4:27:46 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/29/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (39.0%, above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.7%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (34.2%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +12.3% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (118+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (33+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up (broad/trade-weighted index 122). Rising 10-yr yields are a headwind for stocks. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
04-25-24 32.13% 33.93% 33.93% -1.8%
05-02-24 38.49% 29.02% 32.49% +6.0%
05-09-24 40.82% 35.37% 23.81% +17.0%
05-16-24 40.86% 35.88% 23.26% +17.6%
05-23-24 47.04% 26.64% 26.32% +20.7%
05-29-24 39.0% 34.2% 26.7% +12.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.62% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.12% 08.15% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 6, 2024 4:42:05 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/5/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (39.0%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (29.0%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (32.0%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +7.0% (average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (119+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (34+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. ECB to cut rates today. EMs - Claudia SCHEINBAUM is the new President of Mexico; Narendra MODI will continue as Prime Minister of India for a 3rd term. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-02-24 38.49% 29.02% 32.49% +6.0%
05-09-24 40.82% 35.37% 23.81% +17.0%
05-16-24 40.86% 35.88% 23.26% +17.6%
05-23-24 47.04% 26.64% 26.32% +20.7%
05-30-24 39.04% 34.25% 26.71% +12.3%
06/05/24 39.0% 29.0% 32.0% +7.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.62% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.11% 08.15% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 13, 2024 4:53:28 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/12/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (44.6%, above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (25.7%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (29.7%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +18.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (120+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (35+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds flat, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Fed funds remain at 5.25-5.50%; lack of confidence in improvement in inflation. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-09-24 40.82% 35.37% 23.81% +17.0%
05-16-24 40.86% 35.88% 23.26% +17.6%
05-23-24 47.04% 26.64% 26.32% +20.7%
05-30-24 39.04% 34.25% 26.71% +12.3%
06-06-24 38.97% 29.04% 31.99% +7.0%
06-12-24 44.6% 29.7% 25.7% +18.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.62% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.11% 08.15% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 20, 2024 4:28:16 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/19/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (44.4%, above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (22.5%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (33.1%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +21.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (121+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (36+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Big US stocks: 1-NVDA, 2-MSFT, 3-AAPL. Tech XLK rebalance to require selling billions of AAPL to buy more NVDA. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-16-24 40.86% 35.88% 23.26% +17.6%
05-23-24 47.04% 26.64% 26.32% +20.7%
05-30-24 39.04% 34.25% 26.71% +12.3%
06-06-24 38.97% 29.04% 31.99% +7.0%
06-13-24 44.59% 29.73% 25.68% +18.9%
06-19-24 44.4% 33.1% 22.5% +21.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.62% 31.38% 30.99% +6.6%
STD 10.11% 08.15% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jun 27, 2024 4:21:06 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/26/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (44.5%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (27.2%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (28.3%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +16.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (122+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (37+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. Data breaches (LockBit) & fintech app safety (Synapse, Yotta) were in the news. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-23-24 47.04% 26.64% 26.32% +20.7%
05-30-24 39.04% 34.25% 26.71% +12.3%
06-06-24 38.97% 29.04% 31.99% +7.0%
06-13-24 44.59% 29.73% 25.68% +18.9%
06-20-24 44.37% 33.12% 22.51% +21.9%
06-26-24 44.5% 27.2% 28.3% +16.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.63% 31.38% 30.99% +6.6%
STD 10.11% 08.14% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 4, 2024 4:22:12 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/3/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (41.7%, above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (26.1%, below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (32.2%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (123+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (38+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds flat, oil up, gold up, dollar down. Speculations continue about the Democratic ticket. In UK elections, Labour is ahead of Conservatives (incumbents). Paramount/NAI & Skydance deal is back. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
05-30-24 39.04% 34.25% 26.71% +12.3%
06-06-24 38.97% 29.04% 31.99% +7.0%
06-13-24 44.59% 29.73% 25.68% +18.9%
06-20-24 44.37% 33.12% 22.51% +21.9%
06-27-24 44.49% 27.17% 28.35% +16.1%
07-03-24 41.7% 32.2% 26.1% +15.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.63% 31.38% 30.99% +6.6%
STD 10.11% 08.14% 09.73% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 11, 2024 4:33:17 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/10/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.2%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.7%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.1%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +27.5% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (124+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (39+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 51.19% (positive). New highs for SP500 & Nasdaq Comp. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-06-24 38.97% 29.04% 31.99% +7.0%
06-13-24 44.59% 29.73% 25.68% +18.9%
06-20-24 44.37% 33.12% 22.51% +21.9%
06-27-24 44.49% 27.17% 28.35% +16.1%
07-04-24 41.74% 32.17% 26.09% +15.7%
07-10-24 49.2% 29.1% 21.7% +27.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.63% 31.38% 30.98% +6.6%
STD 10.10% 08.14% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 18, 2024 4:41:12 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/17/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (52.7%, high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (23.4%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (23.8%, low); Bull-Bear Spread was +29.3% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (125+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (40+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds up, oil down, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 76.32% (overbought). US market broadening or rotation has started. Republican ticket is set; Democratic ticket has clouds over it. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-13-24 44.59% 29.73% 25.68% +18.9%
06-20-24 44.37% 33.12% 22.51% +21.9%
06-27-24 44.49% 27.17% 28.35% +16.1%
07-04-24 41.74% 32.17% 26.09% +15.7%
07-11-24 49.18% 29.10% 21.72% +27.5%
07-17-24 52.7% 23.8% 23.4% +29.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.64% 31.38% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.10% 08.14% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 25, 2024 4:30:48 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/24/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (43.2%, above average) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (25.1%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (31.7%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +11.5% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (126+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (41+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 62.40% (positive). Democratic ticket changed. FOMC Statement & presser on Wednesday. Treasury spreads 2Y/10Y negative, 2Y/30Y positive. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
06-20-24 44.37% 33.12% 22.51% +21.9%
06-27-24 44.49% 27.17% 28.35% +16.1%
07-04-24 41.74% 32.17% 26.09% +15.7%
07-11-24 49.18% 29.10% 21.72% +27.5%
07-18-24 52.75% 23.81% 23.44% +29.3%
07-24-24 43.2% 25.1% 31.7% +11.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.65% 31.38% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.11% 08.14% 09.72% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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