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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:17:01 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/5/21
For the week ending on 5/5/21, bullish remained the top sentiment and bearish remained the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
04-01-21 45.83% 30.95% 23.21%
04-08-21 56.91% 22.70% 20.39%
04-15-21 53.82% 21.59% 24.58%
04-22-21 52.68% 26.81% 20.50%
04-29-21 42.57% 31.76% 25.68%
05-05-21 44.3% 32.5% 23.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.40% 30.57%
STD 10.06% 08.40% 09.55%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:23:57 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/12/21
For the week ending on 5/12/21, bullish and neutral sentiments were tied, and bearish sentiment remained the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
04-08-21 56.91% 22.70% 20.39%
04-15-21 53.82% 21.59% 24.58%
04-22-21 52.68% 26.81% 20.50%
04-29-21 42.57% 31.76% 25.68%
05-06-21 44.31% 32.55% 23.14%
05-12-21 36.5% 36.5% 27.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.41% 30.56%
STD 10.06% 08.40% 09.55%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:26:30 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/19/21
For the week ending on 5/19/21, the bullish and neutral sentiments were almost tied again, and bearish remained the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
04-15-21 53.82% 21.59% 24.58%
04-22-21 52.68% 26.81% 20.50%
04-29-21 42.57% 31.76% 25.68%
05-06-21 44.31% 32.55% 23.14%
05-13-21 36.52% 36.52% 26.96%
05-19-21 37.0% 36.7% 26.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.41% 30.56%
STD 10.06% 08.40% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:29:04 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 5/26/21
For the week ending on 5/26/21, neutral became the top sentiment by a tiny margin and bearish remained the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
04-22-21 52.68% 26.81% 20.50%
04-29-21 42.57% 31.76% 25.68%
05-06-21 44.31% 32.55% 23.14%
05-13-21 36.52% 36.52% 26.96%
05-20-21 37.03% 36.71% 26.27%
05-26-21 36.4% 37.1% 26.4%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.41% 30.56%
STD 10.05% 08.40% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:31:21 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/2/21
For the week ending on 6/2/21, bullish reclaimed the top spot (high reading) and bearish remained the bottom sentiment (low reading). Reason of sudden big shift is unclear - no news except that WSB/Reddit meme stocks are red hot again.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
04-29-21 42.57% 31.76% 25.68%
05-06-21 44.31% 32.55% 23.14%
05-13-21 36.52% 36.52% 26.96%
05-20-21 37.03% 36.71% 26.27%
05-27-21 36.43% 37.14% 26.43%
06-02-21 44.1% 36.2% 19.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.41% 30.56%
STD 10.05% 08.40% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:33:46 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/9/21
For the week ending on 6/9/21, bullish remained the top sentiment and bearish remained the bottom sentiment (low reading).
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
05-06-21 44.31% 32.55% 23.14%
05-13-21 36.52% 36.52% 26.96%
05-20-21 37.03% 36.71% 26.27%
05-27-21 36.43% 37.14% 26.43%
06-03-21 44.07% 36.17% 19.76%
06-09-21 40.2% 39.1% 20.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.42% 30.55%
STD 10.05% 08.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:36:14 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/16/21
For the week ending on 6/16/21, bullish remained the top sentiment and bearish the bottom sentiment. There was some shift from neutral to bearish - that is notable because the neutral is often considered bulls-in-waiting. Also, it was a news-filled week with President's trip to Europe (G-7, NATO, Biden-Putin summit) and the FOMC meeting, but the sentiment action was a yawn.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
05-13-21 36.52% 36.52% 26.96%
05-20-21 37.03% 36.71% 26.27%
05-27-21 36.43% 37.14% 26.43%
06-03-21 44.07% 36.17% 19.76%
06-10-21 40.23% 39.10% 20.68%
06-16-21 41.1% 32.7% 26.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.42% 30.55%
STD 10.05% 08.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:38:48 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/23/21
For the week ending on 6/23/21, bullish remained the top sentiment and bearish remained the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
05-20-21 37.03% 36.71% 26.27%
05-27-21 36.43% 37.14% 26.43%
06-03-21 44.07% 36.17% 19.76%
06-10-21 40.23% 39.10% 20.68%
06-17-21 41.12% 32.71% 26.17%
06-23-21 40.4% 36.3% 23.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.42% 30.54%
STD 10.05% 08.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:41:04 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/30/21
For the week ending on 6/30/21, bullish remained the top sentiment (high reading) and bearish remained the bottom sentiment (approaching low reading).
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
05-27-21 36.43% 37.14% 26.43%
06-03-21 44.07% 36.17% 19.76%
06-10-21 40.23% 39.10% 20.68%
06-17-21 41.12% 32.71% 26.17%
06-24-21 40.42% 36.25% 23.33%
06-30-21 48.6% 29.2% 22.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.42% 30.54%
STD 10.04% 98.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:43:21 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/7/21
For the week ending 7/7/21, last week's up-move in bullish sentiment was reversed. The bullish sentiment remained the top sentiment and the bearish the bottom sentiment.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
06-03-21 44.07% 36.17% 19.76%
06-10-21 40.23% 39.10% 20.68%
06-17-21 41.12% 32.71% 26.17%
06-24-21 40.42% 36.25% 23.33%
07-01-21 48.65% 29.19% 22.16%
07-07-21 40.2% 35.3% 24.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.42% 30.53%
STD 10.04% 08.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 16, 2021 10:45:42 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/14/21
For the week ending on 7/14.21, neutral became the top sentiment (replacing the bullish sentiment) and bearish remained the bottom sentiment. So, the flip-flop over the last 2 weeks seems to have been resolved as a declining trend (?) in the bullish sentiment. All reading are well within +/- 1SD.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
06-10-21 40.23% 39.10% 20.68%
06-17-21 41.12% 32.71% 26.17%
06-24-21 40.42% 36.25% 23.33%
07-01-21 48.65% 29.19% 22.16%
07-08-21 40.20% 35.29% 24.51%
07-14-21 36.2% 37.0% 26.8%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.43% 30.53%
STD 10.04% 08.39% 09.54%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 22, 2021 5:50:17 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/21/21
For the week ending on 7/21/21, neutral remained the top sentiment (38.7%) and bullish and bearish sentiments were tied (30.6%). The bullish sentiment dropped significantly. All 3 sentiments were in 30s.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
06-17-21 41.12% 32.71% 26.17%
06-24-21 40.42% 36.25% 23.33%
07-01-21 48.65% 29.19% 22.16%
07-08-21 40.20% 35.29% 24.51%
07-15-21 36.17% 37.02% 26.81%
07-21-21 30.6% 38.7% 30.6%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.43% 30.53%
STD 10.04% 08.39% 09.53%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jul 29, 2021 5:38:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/28/21 For the week ending on 7/28/21, neutral remained the top sentiment (39.7%) and bearish became the bottom sentiment (24.1%; low reading). Bullish sentiment rose but remained in the middle (36.2%). stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%21AAIIBULL-%21AAIIBEAR&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p34258481463Date Bullish Neutral Bearish 06-24-21 40.42% 36.25% 23.33% 07-01-21 48.65% 29.19% 22.16% 07-08-21 40.20% 35.29% 24.51% 07-15-21 36.17% 37.02% 26.81% 07-22-21 30.65% 38.71% 30.65% 07-28-21 36.2% 39.7% 24.1%
Observations over life of survey Avg 38.04% 31.43% 30.53% STD 10.04% 08.38% 09.53% |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 5, 2021 5:29:36 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/4/21
For the week ending on 8/4/21, bullish became the top sentiment (36.1%) and bearish remained the bottom sentiment (31.7%). All 3 sentiments were in 30s, so the ordering flip-flops among them are expected.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
07-01-21 48.65% 29.19% 22.16%
07-08-21 40.20% 35.29% 24.51%
07-15-21 36.17% 37.02% 26.81%
07-22-21 30.65% 38.71% 30.65%
07-29-21 36.16% 39.73% 24.11%
08-04-21 36.1% 32.2% 31.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.44% 30.53%
STD 10.03% 08.38% 09.53%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 12, 2021 5:47:00 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/11/21
For the week ending on 8/11/21, bullish remained the top sentiment (37.0%) and neutral and bearish sentiments became tied (31.5%). All 3 sentiments were in 30s and close to their average values.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
07-08-21 40.20% 35.29% 24.51%
07-15-21 36.17% 37.02% 26.81%
07-22-21 30.65% 38.71% 30.65%
07-29-21 36.16% 39.73% 24.11%
08-05-21 36.07% 32.24% 31.69%
08-11-21 37.0% 31.5% 31.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.44% 30.53%
STD 10.03% 08.38% 09.53%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 19, 2021 5:35:46 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/18/21
For the week ending on 8/18/21, bearish became the top sentiment (35.1%; above average) and neutral became the bottom sentiment (31.7%; below average). All three were in 30s so ordering flip-flops are expected.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
07-15-21 36.17% 37.02% 26.81%
07-22-21 30.65% 38.71% 30.65%
07-29-21 36.16% 39.73% 24.11%
08-05-21 36.07% 32.24% 31.69%
08-12-21 36.97% 31.51% 31.51%
08-18-21 33.2% 31.7% 35.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.44% 30.53%
STD 10.03% 08.38% 09.52%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Aug 26, 2021 6:12:15 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/25/21
For the week ending on 8/25/21, a flip-flop. Bullish became the top sentiment (39.6%) and neutral remained the bottom sentiment (27.5%; below average).
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
07-22-21 30.65% 38.71% 30.65%
07-29-21 36.16% 39.73% 24.11%
08-05-21 36.07% 32.24% 31.69%
08-12-21 36.97% 31.51% 31.51%
08-19-21 33.17% 31.73% 35.10%
08-25-21 39.6% 27.5% 33.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.44% 30.53%
STD 10.03% 08.38% 09.52%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 2, 2021 5:41:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/1/21
For the week ending on 9/1/21, bullish remained the top sentiment (43.4%; above average) and neutral remained the bottom sentiment (23.2%; low reading, well below average); bearish was in the middle (33.3%; above average). Survey is net bullish but not at an extreme level yet. Sentiment indicators are contrarian indicators. September is typically a difficult month for stocks (poor seasonality May-October).
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
07-29-21 36.16% 39.73% 24.11%
08-05-21 36.07% 32.24% 31.69%
08-12-21 36.97% 31.51% 31.51%
08-19-21 33.17% 31.73% 35.10%
08-26-21 39.56% 27.47% 32.97%
09-01-21 43.4% 23.2% 33.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.03% 31.44% 30.53%
STD 10.02% 08.38% 09.52%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 9, 2021 6:49:36 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/8/21
For the week ending on 9/8/21, there were small shifts. Bullish remained the top sentiment (38.9%, near average) but bearish became the bottom sentiment (27.2%, below average); neutral was in the middle (33.9%, above average). Overall tone was bullish as neutral/undecided are often the bulls waiting on the sidelines.
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish
08-05-21 36.07% 32.24% 31.69%
08-12-21 36.97% 31.51% 31.51%
08-19-21 33.17% 31.73% 35.10%
08-26-21 39.56% 27.47% 32.97%
09-02-21 43.43% 23.23% 33.33%
09-08-21 38.9% 33.9% 27.2%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 38.04% 31.43% 30.53%
STD 10.02% 08.38% 09.52%
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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 16, 2021 5:39:22 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/15/21 In a big flip this week, bearish sentiment became the top sentiment (39.3%) and bullish became the bottom sentiment (22.4%), just the opposite of the last week; neutral remained in the middle (38.3%). The overall tone was bearish (vs bullish last week). Remember that sentiment is a contrarian indicator. Date Bullish Neutral Bearish 08-12-21 36.97% 31.51% 31.51% 08-19-21 33.17% 31.73% 35.10% 08-26-21 39.56% 27.47% 32.97% 09-02-21 43.43% 23.23% 33.33% 09-09-21 38.89% 33.89% 27.22% 09-15-21 22.4% 38.3% 39.3%Observations over life of survey Avg 38.04% 31.43% 30.53% STD 10.02% 08.37% 09.51% Edit/Add: From weekend Barron's, www.barrons.com/articles/biden-likely-to-renominate-powell-as-fed-chief-say-online-betting-markets-51631921771?mod=past_editions"Bearish Sentiment: Bullish Sign The McClellan Market Report McClellan Financial Publications .... Some analysts like to track the spread between bulls and bears in the weekly AAII [American Association of Individual Investors] Investor Sentiment Survey, and I watch that, too. But I also find that looking at each of them separately can be useful. [The latest reading] is the highest reading for the bearish percentage since October 2020, when we were still just recovering from the Covid crash and investors were still terribly pessimistic. This is a bottoming sort of indication for stock prices...." |
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