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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 26, 2023 4:33:19 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/25/23
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (43.2%; high) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (27.5%; below average); bullish remained the middle sentiment (29.3%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -13.9% (below average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (87+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas; geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds flat, oil down, gold up, dollar flat. Bond vigilantes are keeping long-term rates high. UAW & Ford settled. DC has House Speaker. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-21-23 31.30% 34.10% 34.61% -3.3% 09-28-23 27.79% 31.27% 40.94% -13.2% 10-05-23 30.10% 28.32% 41.58% -11.5% 10-12-23 40.00% 23.51% 36.49% +3.5% 10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-25-23 29.3% 27.5% 43.2% -13.9% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.52% 31.41% 31.07% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.21% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 2, 2023 4:37:28 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/1/23
BEARISH remained the top sentiment (50.3%; high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (24.3%; low); neutral became the middle sentiment (25.4%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -26.0% (very low). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (88+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas (3+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. Fed kept ST rates same. Bond vigilantes are keeping LT rates high. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-28-23 27.79% 31.27% 40.94% -13.2% 10-05-23 30.10% 28.32% 41.58% -11.5% 10-12-23 40.00% 23.51% 36.49% +3.5% 10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-26-23 29.28% 27.54% 43.18% -13.9% 11-01-23 24.3% 25.4% 50.3% -26.00%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.51% 31.41% 31.08% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.21% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 9, 2023 5:25:57 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/8/23
BULLISH became the top sentiment (42.6%; above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (27.2%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.2%; near average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.4% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (89+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas (4+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up sharply, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar down. A huge flip-flop in the Sentiment. Interest rates fell. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-05-23 30.10% 28.32% 41.58% -11.5% 10-12-23 40.00% 23.51% 36.49% +3.5% 10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-26-23 29.28% 27.54% 43.18% -13.9% 11-02-23 24.31% 25.41% 50.28% -26.0% 11-08-23 42.6% 30.2% 27.2% +15.4%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.51% 31.41% 31.09% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 16, 2023 4:55:15 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/15/23
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (43.8%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (28.1%, tie; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (28.1%, tie; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.7% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (90+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas (5+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds flat, oil up, gold up, dollar down. The US budget extended to January/February. Presidents Biden & Xi (China) met at APEC in SF. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-12-23 40.00% 23.51% 36.49% +3.5% 10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-26-23 29.28% 27.54% 43.18% -13.9% 11-02-23 24.31% 25.41% 50.28% -26.0% 11-09-23 42.60% 30.18% 27.22% +15.4% 11-15-23 43.8% 28.1% 28.1% +15.7% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.51% 31.40% 31.09% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 23, 2023 5:22:51 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/22/23
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (45.3%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (23.6%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.1%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +21.7% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (91+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); Israel-Hamas (6+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. SEC is talking to crypto filers about changes. Nonprofits controlling for-profits created a live thriller at OpenAI. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-26-23 29.28% 27.54% 43.18% -13.9% 11-02-23 24.31% 25.41% 50.28% -26.0% 11-09-23 42.60% 30.18% 27.22% +15.4% 11-16-23 43.78% 28.11% 28.11% +15.7% 11-22-23 45.3% 31.1% 23.6% +21.7% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.51% 31.40% 31.09% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 30, 2023 5:17:11 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/29/23 BULLISH remained the top sentiment (48.8%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (19.6%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.7%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +29.2% (high). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (92+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (7+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth down), bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. Interest rates declined a bit. Gold & cryptos are rallying. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 10-19-23 34.07% 31.32% 34.62% -0.5% 10-26-23 29.28% 27.54% 43.18% -13.9% 11-02-23 24.31% 25.41% 50.28% -26.0% 11-09-23 42.60% 30.18% 27.22% +15.4% 11-16-23 43.78% 28.11% 28.11% +15.7% 11-29-23 48.8% 31.7% 19.6% +29.2%Observations over life of survey Avg 37.51% 31.40% 31.09% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.77% 18.1% Edit/Add. TwitterLINK w/charts 2015-now. Image pbs.twimg.com/media/GALurIdWcAIi1fr?format=jpg&name=900x900Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 7, 2023 5:19:34 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/6/23
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (47.3%; high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (25.3%, below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (27.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +19.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (93+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (8+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth down), bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar up. The FED & fed fund traders have diverging rate outlooks. Crypto rally continued. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-02-23 24.31% 25.41% 50.28% -26.0% 11-09-23 42.60% 30.18% 27.22% +15.4% 11-16-23 43.78% 28.11% 28.11% +15.7% 11-23-23 45.30% 31.05% 23.65% +21.7% 11-30-23 48.76% 31.68% 19.57% +29.2% 12-06-23 47.3% 25.3% 27.4% +19.9%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.52% 31.40% 31.08% +6.4% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 14, 2023 5:45:18 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/13/23 BULLISH remained the top sentiment (51.3%; high) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (19.3%, low); neutral became the middle sentiment (29.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +32.0% (very high). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (94+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (9+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil flat, gold down, dollar down. The FED held rates & indicated possible cuts in late-2024. An everything-rally followed. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 11-09-23 42.60% 30.18% 27.22% +15.4% 11-16-23 43.78% 28.11% 28.11% +15.7% 11-23-23 45.30% 31.05% 23.65% +21.7% 11-30-23 48.76% 31.68% 19.57% +29.2% 12-07-23 47.31% 25.27% 27.42% +19.9% 12-14-23 51.3% 29.4% 19.3% +32.0% (AAII Excel spreadsheet has a discrepancy) Observations over life of survey Avg 37.53% 31.39% 31.07% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.20% 09.76% 18.1% Edit/Add. TwitterLINKYBB Personal Finance @ybb_Finance (12/14/23) @charlesraaii, @aaiisentiment, good that AAII Excel spreadsheet now has the updated data, but it has a discrepancy. Neutral & Bearish sentiments seem switched; total isn't 100%. I am assuming that site data elsewhere is correct. Please fix. Edit/Add. Noted around 5:30 PM that the AAII Excel spreadsheet was fixed. Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 21, 2023 5:27:27 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/20/23
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (52.9%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (20.9%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (26.2%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +32.0% (very high). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (95+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (10+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. DJIA reached new highs, SP500 nearly so. Oil rose on Suez-Red-Sea corridor disruption. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-16-23 43.78% 28.11% 28.11% +15.7% 11-23-23 45.30% 31.05% 23.65% +21.7% 11-30-23 48.76% 31.68% 19.57% +29.2% 12-07-23 47.31% 25.27% 27.42% +19.9% 12-14-23 51.30% 29.39% 19.31% +32.0% 12-20-23 52.9% 26.2% 20.9% +32.0% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.53% 31.40% 31.07% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.19% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 28, 2023 5:08:11 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/27/23
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (46.3%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.1%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (28.6%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +21.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (96+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (11+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil flat, gold up, dollar down. SP500 near new highs. The dollar is headed below 100 & that will benefit commodities, EMs, foreign funds. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-23-23 45.30% 31.05% 23.65% +21.7% 11-30-23 48.76% 31.68% 19.57% +29.2% 12-07-23 47.31% 25.27% 27.42% +19.9% 12-14-23 51.30% 29.39% 19.31% +32.0% 12-21-23 52.92% 26.18% 20.89% +32.0% 12-27-23 46.3% 28.6% 25.1% +21.2%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.54% 31.40% 31.06% +6.5% STD 10.14% 08.19% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 4, 2024 5:21:46 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/3/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (48.6%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.1%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.9%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +25.1% (high). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (97+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (12+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. An unexpected strength in dollar may be hurting everything else. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-30-23 48.76% 31.68% 19.57% +29.2% 12-07-23 47.31% 25.27% 27.42% +19.9% 12-14-23 51.30% 29.39% 19.31% +32.0% 12-21-23 52.92% 26.18% 20.89% +32.0% 12-28-23 46.33% 28.61% 25.06% +21.3% 01-03-24 48.6% 27.9% 23.5% +25.1% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.55% 31.39% 31.06% +6.5% STD 10.14% 08.19% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 11, 2024 5:02:24 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/10/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (48.6%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (24.2%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.2%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.4% (high). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (98+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (13+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up/flat. Expected (wholesale) PPI < CPI. SEC approved 11 spot-Bitcoin ETFs. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-07-23 47.31% 25.27% 27.42% +19.9% 12-14-23 51.30% 29.39% 19.31% +32.0% 12-21-23 52.92% 26.18% 20.89% +32.0% 12-28-23 46.33% 28.61% 25.06% +21.3% 01-04-24 48.56% 27.94% 23.50% +25.1% 01-10-24 48.6% 27.2% 24.2% +24.4%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.55% 31.39% 31.05% +6.5% STD 10.14% 08.19% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 18, 2024 5:49:51 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/17/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (40.4%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.8%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.9%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +13.6% (above average). Investor concerns: Budget; inflation; economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine (99+ weeks); Israel-Hamas (14+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. US election primaries started. WEF 2024, Davos is Jan 15-19. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-14-23 51.30% 29.39% 19.31% +32.0% 12-21-23 52.92% 26.18% 20.89% +32.0% 12-28-23 46.33% 28.61% 25.06% +21.3% 01-04-24 48.56% 27.94% 23.50% +25.1% 01-11-24 48.59% 27.25% 24.16% +24.4% 01-17-24 40.4% 32.9% 26.8% +13.6% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.56% 31.39% 31.05% +6.5% STD 10.14% 08.19% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 25, 2024 5:10:41 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/24/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (39.3%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.1%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (34.8%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +13.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed/FOMC, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (100+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (15+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. Other Sentiments have been slipping too since mid-December. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-21-23 52.92% 26.18% 20.89% +32.0% 12-28-23 46.33% 28.61% 25.06% +21.3% 01-04-24 48.56% 27.94% 23.50% +25.1% 01-11-24 48.59% 27.25% 24.16% +24.4% 01-18-24 40.38% 32.86% 26.76% +13.6% 01-24-24 39.3% 34.8% 26.1% +13.2%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.56% 31.39% 31.05% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 1, 2024 5:48:43 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/31/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.1%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (24.5%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (26.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.6% (high; improved). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed/FOMC, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (101+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (16+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. Fed held rates but isn't in a rush to cut. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-28-23 46.33% 28.61% 25.06% +21.3% 01-04-24 48.56% 27.94% 23.50% +25.1% 01-11-24 48.59% 27.25% 24.16% +24.4% 01-18-24 40.38% 32.86% 26.76% +13.6% 01-25-24 39.27% 34.63% 26.10% +13.2% 01-31-24 49.1% 26.4% 24.5% +24.6%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.56% 31.39% 31.05% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.76% 18.1%
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 8, 2024 5:44:11 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/7/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (49.0%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.4%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (28.4%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +26.4% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed/FOMC, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (102+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (17+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. Big stock rally continued (IVV, QQQ), but others lagged (RSP, IJR). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-04-24 48.56% 27.94% 23.50% +25.1% 01-11-24 48.59% 27.25% 24.16% +24.4% 01-18-24 40.38% 32.86% 26.76% +13.6% 01-25-24 39.27% 34.63% 26.10% +13.2% 02-01-24 49.07% 26.40% 24.53% +24.5% 02-07-24 49.0% 28.4% 22.6% +26.4%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.57% 31.39% 31.04% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.76% 18.1%
Edit/Add: Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 15, 2024 5:37:49 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/14/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (42.2%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.8%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.1%, average); Bull-Bear Spread was +15.4% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (103+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (18+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. With good economic data & stock market, the Fed won't rush to cut. Japan is in technical recession. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-11-24 48.59% 27.25% 24.16% +24.4% 01-18-24 40.38% 32.86% 26.76% +13.6% 01-25-24 39.27% 34.63% 26.10% +13.2% 02-01-24 49.07% 26.40% 24.53% +24.5% 02-08-24 49.03% 28.41% 22.56% +26.5% 02-14-24 42.2% 31.1% 26.8% +15.4%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.57% 31.39% 31.04% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.76% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 22, 2024 5:10:40 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/21/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (44.3%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (26.2%, below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.5%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +18.1% (above average). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (104+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (19+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth down, cyclicals up), bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. Techs remain strong (NVDA). AMZN replacing WBA in DJIA. Nikkei225 at new high after 34 years! #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-18-24 40.38% 32.86% 26.76% +13.6% 01-25-24 39.27% 34.63% 26.10% +13.2% 02-01-24 49.07% 26.40% 24.53% +24.5% 02-08-24 49.03% 28.41% 22.56% +26.5% 02-15-24 42.17% 31.06% 26.77% +15.4% 02-21-24 44.3% 29.5% 26.2% +18.1%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.58% 31.39% 31.04% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 29, 2024 2:24:30 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/28/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (46.5%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.3%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (32.2%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +25.2% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (105+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (20+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. Sentiments remain good & stable. Markets may digest gains since 10/2023. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
01-25-24 39.27% 34.63% 26.10% +13.2% 02-01-24 49.07% 26.40% 24.53% +24.5% 02-08-24 49.03% 28.41% 22.56% +26.5% 02-15-24 42.17% 31.06% 26.77% +15.4% 02-22-24 44.28% 29.52% 26.20% +18.1% 02-28-24 46.5% 32.2% 21.3% +25.2%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.58% 31.39% 31.03% +6.5% STD 10.13% 08.18% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Mar 7, 2024 5:22:09 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/6/24
BULLISH remained the top sentiment (51.7%; high) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (21.8%, low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (26.5%, below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +29.9% (high). Investor concerns: Elections, budget, inflation, economy, the Fed, dollar, Russia-Ukraine (106+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (21+ weeks), geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were mixed (growth up, cyclicals down), bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. New highs for Bitcoin & gold. The outcome of US election primaries is now known. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
02-01-24 49.07% 26.40% 24.53% +24.5% 02-08-24 49.03% 28.41% 22.56% +26.5% 02-15-24 42.17% 31.06% 26.77% +15.4% 02-22-24 44.28% 29.52% 26.20% +18.1% 02-29-24 46.50% 32.17% 21.34% +25.2% 03-03-24 51.7% 26.5% 21.8% +29.9%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.58% 31.39% 31.03% +6.6% STD 10.13% 08.17% 09.75% 18.1%
Sentiment Scale: v low << avg - 1*SD; low < avg - 1*SD; below avg, avg, above avg for in-between; high > avg + 1*SD, v high >> avg + 1*SD
Accessible from Facebook + Threads ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO).
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