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Post by Admin/YBB on Sept 29, 2022 5:33:09 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 9/28/22
For the week ending on 9/28/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (60.8%; extremely high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (19.2%; extremely low); bullish became the middle sentiment (20.0%; extremely low); Bull-Bear Spread was -40.8% (extremely low). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation; supply-chain disruptions; the Fed; the BOE suddenly did QE to support UK bonds & pound; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (sabotages in idle NS1 & NS2 pipelines; Russian annexations in Ukraine; 31+ weeks); geopolitical (political shift in Italy). For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
08-25-22 27.70% 29.92% 42.38% -14.7%
09-01-22 21.92% 27.67% 50.41% -28.5%
09-08-22 18.07% 28.66% 53.27% -35.2%
09-15-22 26.13% 27.87% 45.99% -19.9%
09-22-22 17.73% 21.40% 60.87% -43.1%
09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.40% 30.89% +06.8%
STD 10.12% 08.30% 09.73% 18.0%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 6, 2022 5:21:15 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/5/22
For the week ending on 10/5/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (54.8%; extremely high) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (21.3%; extremely low); bullish remained the middle sentiment (23.9%; extremely low); Bull-Bear Spread was -30.9% (extremely low). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation; supply-chain disruptions; the Fed; US elections; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (32+ weeks); European banks; geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up (October dollar-relief rally?), bonds flat/down, oil up sharply (ahead of OPEC production cuts), gold up, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-01-22 21.92% 27.67% 50.41% -28.5%
09-08-22 18.07% 28.66% 53.27% -35.2%
09-15-22 26.13% 27.87% 45.99% -19.9%
09-22-22 17.73% 21.40% 60.87% -43.1%
09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9%
10-05-22 23.9% 21.3% 54.8% -30.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.71% 31.40% 30.89% +6.8%
STD 10.12% 08.30% 09.73% 18.0%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 13, 2022 4:33:47 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/12/22
For the week ending on 10/12/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (55.9%; extremely high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (20.4%; extremely low); neutral became the middle sentiment (23.7%; extremely low); Bull-Bear Spread was -35.5% (extremely low). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation (new data this week); supply-chain disruptions; the Fed; US elections; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (33+ weeks); European banks & UK pension funds; geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down sharply, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-08-22 18.07% 28.66% 53.27% -35.2%
09-15-22 26.13% 27.87% 45.99% -19.9%
09-22-22 17.73% 21.40% 60.87% -43.1%
09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9%
10-06-22 23.92% 21.33% 54.76% -30.8%
10-12-22 20.4% 23.7% 55.9% -35.5%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.70% 31.39% 30.90% +6.8%
STD 10.12% 08.30% 09.74% 18.0%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 20, 2022 4:33:37 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/19/22 For the week ending on 10/19/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (56.2%; extremely high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (21.2%; extremely low); bullish became the middle sentiment (22.6%; extremely low); Bull-Bear Spread was -33.6% (extremely low). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation; supply-chain disruptions; the Fed; US elections; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (34+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds down, oil down, gold down, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 09-15-22 26.13% 27.87% 45.99% -19.9% 09-22-22 17.73% 21.40% 60.87% -43.1% 09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9% 10-06-22 23.92% 21.33% 54.76% -30.8% 10-13-22 20.36% 23.71% 55.93% -35.6% 10-19-20 22.6% 21.2% 56.2% -33.6%Observations over life of survey Avg 37.69% 31.39% 30.92% +6.8% STD 10.12% 08.30% 09.76% 18.1% Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). Edit/Add: Twitter LINK |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Oct 27, 2022 4:48:22 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 10/26/22
For the week ending on 10/26/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (45.7%; extremely high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (26.6%; very low); neutral became the middle sentiment (27.7%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -19.1% (very low). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation; supply-chain disruptions; the Fed; dollar; US elections; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (35+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up strongly, bonds up, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar down sharply (but still high; key now). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-22-22 17.73% 21.40% 60.87% -43.1%
09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9%
10-06-22 23.92% 21.33% 54.76% -30.8%
10-13-22 20.36% 23.71% 55.93% -35.6%
10-20-22 22.60% 21.19% 56.21% -33.6%
10-27-22 26.6% 27.7% 45.7% -19.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.69% 31.38% 30.93% +6.8%
STD 10.13% 08.30% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 3, 2022 4:48:56 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/2/22
For the week ending on 11/2/22, a huge shift: Neutral became the top sentiment (36.5%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (30.6%; below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (32.9%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -2.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Recession; inflation; supply-chain disruptions; the Fed (hiked +75 bps & more to come); dollar; US elections; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (36+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth down), bonds up, oil up, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
09-29-22 19.95% 19.24% 60.81% -40.9%
10-06-22 23.92% 21.33% 54.76% -30.8%
10-13-22 20.36% 23.71% 55.93% -35.6%
10-20-22 22.60% 21.19% 56.21% -33.6%
10-27-22 26.59% 27.75% 45.66% -19.1%
11-02-22 30.6% 36.5% 32.9% -2.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.68% 31.38% 30.94% +6.7%
STD 10.13% 08.30% 09.77% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 10, 2022 5:44:21 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/9/22 For the week ending on 11/9/22, a big shift for the worse: Bearish became the top sentiment (47.0%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (25.1%; low); neutral became the middle sentiment (27.9%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -22.1% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation; supply-chain disruptions; recession; the Fed; dollar; crypto-crash (FTX collapse); US election outcome; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (37+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were mixed (cyclicals up, growth down), bonds down, oil down sharply, gold up strongly, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 10-06-22 23.92% 21.33% 54.76% -30.8% 10-13-22 20.36% 23.71% 55.93% -35.6% 10-20-22 22.60% 21.19% 56.21% -33.6% 10-27-22 26.59% 27.75% 45.66% -19.1% 11-03-22 30.56% 36.54% 32.89% -2.3% 11-09-22 25.1% 27.9% 47.0% -21.9% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.68% 31.39% 30.94% +6.7% STD 10.13% 08.29% 9.77% 18.1% Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). Edit/Add. Better than expected CPI report this AM has the markets flying. fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=WhmD |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 17, 2022 5:47:46 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/16/22
For the week ending on 11/16/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (40.2%; high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (26.3%; below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (33.5%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -6.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (high but moderating); supply-chain disruptions; recession; the Fed; dollar; crypto chaos; divided Congress; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (38+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up strongly, bonds up strongly, oil down, gold up strongly, dollar down sharply. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-13-22 20.36% 23.71% 55.93% -35.6%
10-20-22 22.60% 21.19% 56.21% -33.6%
10-27-22 26.59% 27.75% 45.66% -19.1%
11-03-22 30.56% 36.54% 32.89% -2.3%
11-10-22 25.09% 27.87% 47.04% -22.0%
11-16-22 33.5% 26.3% 40.2% -6.7%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.67% 31.38% 30.95% +6.7%
STD 10.13% 08.29% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Nov 24, 2022 5:36:39 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/23/22 For the week ending on 11/23/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (40.2%; high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (28.9%; below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (30.9%; near average); Bull-Bear Spread was -11.3% ( high low). Investor concerns: Inflation (high but moderating); supply-chain disruptions; recession; the Fed; dollar; crypto winter; divided Congress; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (39+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar flat. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 10-20-22 22.60% 21.19% 56.21% -33.6% 10-27-22 26.59% 27.75% 45.66% -19.1% 11-03-22 30.56% 36.54% 32.89% -2.3% 11-10-22 25.09% 27.87% 47.04% -22.0% 11-17-22 33.45% 26.33% 40.21% -6.8% 11-23-22 28.9% 30.9% 40.2% -11.3% Observations over life of survey Avg 37.67% 31.38% 30.95% +6.7% STD 10.13% 08.29% 09.78% 18.1% Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). Edit/Add: From MFO discussion, www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/156440/#Comment_156440"2022 has been an unusual year for the AAII Sentiment, a contrary indicator. The low-high ranges YTD are: Bullish: 15.84% (4/14/22) to 33.33% (8/18/22) Bearish: 27.54% (3/31/22) to 60.87% (9/22/22) Bull-Bear Spread: -43.1% (9/22/22) to +4.3% (3/31/22) The current Sentiment reading is fairly negative, but not as bad as it was in September (or, in April or June). However, Charles Rotblut of AAII sees the current situation much more optimistically (e.g. "new 2022 high for bullish sentiment" last week; he hasn't tweeted yet about today's readings)." |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 1, 2022 5:33:23 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 11/30/22
For the week ending on 11/30/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (40.4%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.5%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (35.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -15.4% (high low). Investor concerns: Inflation (high but moderating); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023); the Fed (slower pace but higher longer); dollar; crypto winter; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (40+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up (SP500 also above 200-dMA), bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
10-27-22 26.59% 27.75% 45.66% -19.1%
11-03-22 30.56% 36.54% 32.89% -2.3%
11-10-22 25.09% 27.87% 47.04% -22.0%
11-17-22 33.45% 26.33% 40.21% -6.8%
11-24-22 28.86% 30.90% 40.23% -11.4%
11-30-22 24.5% 35.1% 40.4% -15.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.66% 31.38% 30.96% +6.7%
STD 10.13% 08.29% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 8, 2022 5:29:03 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/7/22 For the week ending on 12/7/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (41.8%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.7%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (33.5%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -17.1% ( high low). Investor concerns: Inflation (high but moderating); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023); the Fed (slower pace but higher longer); dollar (reversing); crypto winter; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (41+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down sharply, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold up, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 11-03-22 30.56% 36.54% 32.89% -2.3% 11-10-22 25.09% 27.87% 47.04% -22.0% 11-17-22 33.45% 26.33% 40.21% -6.8% 11-24-22 28.86% 30.90% 40.23% -11.4% 12-01-22 24.47% 35.11% 40.43% -16.0% 12-07-22 24.7% 33.5% 41.8% -17.1%
Observations over life of survey Avg 37.66% 31.38% 30.96% +6.7% STD 10.13% 08.29% 09.78% 18.1% Edit/Add: Bespoke noted that AAII Sentiment has been bearish for 36 weeks, its longest such stretch. LINKAccessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 15, 2022 5:40:03 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/14/22
For the week ending on 12/14/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (44.6%; high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.3%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.1%; average); Bull-Bear Spread was -20.3% (high low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023?); the Fed (+50 bps hike; slower pace but higher longer); dollar (reversing); crypto Winter; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (42+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds flat, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-10-22 25.09% 27.87% 47.04% -22.0%
11-17-22 33.45% 26.33% 40.21% -6.8%
11-24-22 28.86% 30.90% 40.23% -11.4%
12-01-22 24.47% 35.11% 40.43% -16.0%
12-08-22 24.73% 33.45% 41.82% -17.1%
12-14-22 24.3% 31.1% 44.6% -20.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.65% 31.38% 30.97% +6.7%
STD 10.13% 08.29% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 22, 2022 5:33:00 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/21/22
For the week ending on 12/21/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (52.3%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (20.3%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (27.4%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -32.0% (very low high). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023?); the Fed (slower pace but higher rates longer); dollar (reversing); crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (43+ weeks; Zelenskyy in DC); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar flat. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-17-22 33.45% 26.33% 40.21% -6.8%
11-24-22 28.86% 30.90% 40.23% -11.4%
12-01-22 24.47% 35.11% 40.43% -16.0%
12-08-22 24.73% 33.45% 41.82% -17.1%
12-15-22 24.30% 31.08% 44.62% -20.3%
12-21-22 20.3% 27.4% 52.3% -32.0%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.64% 31.38% 30.98% +6.7%
STD 10.13% 08.28% 09.78% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Dec 29, 2022 5:35:14 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 12/28/22
For the week ending on 12/28/22, bearish remained the top sentiment (47.6%; high) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (25.9%; below average); bullish became the middle sentiment (26.5%; low); Bull-Bear Spread was -21.1% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023?); the Fed (slower pace but higher rates longer); dollar (reversing); crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (44+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down sharply (techs, Nasdaq near lows), bonds down (CEFs near lows), oil up, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
11-24-22 28.86% 30.90% 40.23% -11.4%
12-01-22 24.47% 35.11% 40.43% -16.0%
12-08-22 24.73% 33.45% 41.82% -17.1%
12-15-22 24.30% 31.08% 44.62% -20.3%
12-22-22 20.31% 27.38% 52.31% -32.0%
12-28-22 26.5% 25.9% 47.6% -21.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.63% 31.38% 30.99% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.28% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 5, 2023 6:15:30 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/4/23 For the week ending on 1/4/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (42.0%; high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (20.5%; very low); neutral became the middle sentiment (37.5%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -21.5% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023?); the Fed (slower pace but higher rates longer); dollar; crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (45+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold up, dollar flat. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 12-01-22 24.47% 35.11% 40.43% -16.0% 12-08-22 24.73% 33.45% 41.82% -17.1% 12-15-22 24.30% 31.08% 44.62% -20.3% 12-22-22 20.31% 27.38% 52.31% -32.0% 12-29-22 26.49% 25.89% 47.62% -21.1% 01-04-23 20.5% 37.5% 42.0% -21.5%Observations over life of survey Avg 37.63% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6% STD 10.14% 08.28% 09.79% 18.1% Edit/Add: Bespoke pointed out that AAII Bull-Bear spread has been negative for 40 weeks (prior records were 22 weeks in 1990, 34 weeks in 2020), LINK. Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). |
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 12, 2023 5:33:04 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/11/23
For the week ending on 1/11/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (39.9%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.0%; low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (36.0%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -15.9% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high; CPI due today); supply-chain disruptions; recession (2023?); the Fed (higher rates longer); dollar; crypto ice-age (some crypto banks tapped the FLHB); market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (46+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up sharply, bonds up, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar down. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-08-22 24.73% 33.45% 41.82% -17.1%
12-15-22 24.30% 31.08% 44.62% -20.3%
12-22-22 20.31% 27.38% 52.31% -32.0%
12-29-22 26.49% 25.89% 47.62% -21.1%
01-05-23 20.51% 37.50% 41.99% -21.5%
01-11-23 24.0% 36.0% 39.9% -15.9%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.62% 31.38% 31.00% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.28% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by chahta on Jan 12, 2023 19:16:31 GMT -6
How does one use this indicator? Seems like, at least this week, it is a contrarian indicator.
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 19, 2023 5:56:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/18/23
For the week ending on 1/18/23, neutral became the top sentiment (36.0%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (31.0%; below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (33.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -2.1% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; economy; the Fed (higher rates longer); dollar; crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (47+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down (setback on Wednesday), bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down; several sentiment & seasonal indicators turned bullish. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-15-22 24.30% 31.08% 44.62% -20.3%
12-22-22 20.31% 27.38% 52.31% -32.0%
12-29-22 26.49% 25.89% 47.62% -21.1%
01-05-23 20.51% 37.50% 41.99% -21.5%
01-12-23 24.03% 36.04% 39.93% -15.9%
01-18-23 31.0% 36.0% 33.1% -2.1%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.38% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.28% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Jan 26, 2023 5:16:41 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 1/25/23
For the week ending on 1/25/23, bearish became the top sentiment (36.7%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (28.4%; below average); neutral became the middle sentiment (35.0%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -8.3% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); supply-chain disruptions; economy; the Fed (higher rates longer); dollar; crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (48+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. Notably, this Survey changed direction so soon (in 4 weeks). #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread
12-22-22 20.31% 27.38% 52.31% -32.0%
12-29-22 26.49% 25.89% 47.62% -21.1%
01-05-23 20.51% 37.50% 41.99% -21.5%
01-12-23 24.03% 36.04% 39.93% -15.9%
01-19-23 30.97% 35.96% 33.07% -2.1%
01-25-23 28.4% 35.0% 36.7% -8.3%
Observations over life of survey
Avg 37.61% 31.39% 31.01% +6.6%
STD 10.14% 08.28% 09.79% 18.1%
Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance).
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Post by Admin/YBB on Feb 2, 2023 5:41:31 GMT -6
AAII Sentiment Survey, 2/1/23 For the week ending on 2/1/23, neutral became the top sentiment (35.5%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (29.9%; below average); bearish became the middle sentiment (34.6%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -4.7% (below average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (+25 bps hike yesterday; a couple more?); dollar; crypto ice-age; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (49+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up sharply, bonds up, oil down, gold flat, dollar down. Markets have perked up & this rally since Oct lows has legs. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets Date Bullish Neutral Bearish Bull-Bear Spread 12-29-22 26.49% 25.89% 47.62% -21.1% 01-05-23 20.51% 37.50% 41.99% -21.5% 01-12-23 24.03% 36.04% 39.93% -15.9% 01-19-23 30.97% 35.96% 33.07% -2.1% 01-26-23 28.37% 34.96% 36.68% -8.3% 02-01-23 29.9% 35.5% 34.6% -4.7%Observations over life of survey Avg 37.60% 31.39% 31.01% +6.6% STD 10.14% 08.27% 09.79% 18.1% Edit/Add: MFO Comment by YBB SP500 with AAII Bull-Bear Ratio (add today's reading 0.86; more common is Bull-Bear Spread) from Twitter LINK. www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/159444/#Comment_159444Accessible from Morningstar (M*), Mutual Fund Observer (MFO), Facebook ("at"yogibearbull), Twitter ("at"YBB_Finance). |
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